Economy
EU - US Trade Talks Stalled, European Economic Data Under Pressure
The EU may reach a trade deal with the US by the end of this month, aiming to establish a "minimum - tariff reciprocal framework" to avoid the 10% benchmark tariff proposed by Trump. However, specific exemption clauses are still being negotiated. This stalemate is having a significant impact on the European economy.
New Zealand Household Savings Deteriorate Further; Housing Market Shows Uneven Recovery
New Zealand’s household savings situation continued to worsen in the first quarter of 2025, with Statistics New Zealand data showing savings falling to -NZ$1.6 billion (a NZ$392 million quarterly decline), marking the third consecutive quarter of negative savings. This was driven by household spending growth (+2.2% to NZ$62.2 billion) outpacing disposable income gains (+1.5% to NZ$60.6 billion).
Trump Signs "Big and Beautiful" Act, Hitting New - energy Industry
On July 4, 2025, US President Trump signed the controversial "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill into law, which has dealt a heavy blow to the US new - energy industry.
Plummeting International Student Numbers in Australia Raise Labor Shortage Fears; RBA Rate Cut Imminent
Australia is grappling with a sharp decline in international students, triggering concerns over labor market gaps. As of April 2025, the total number of international students dropped to 794,000, a decrease of 300,000 from the end of 2024. New enrollments plummeted 13% year-on-year to 219,000, while visa applications fell by over 30%. This is largely attributed to successive policy tightenings: visa fees were hiked twice in a year (from A$710 to A$1,600, then to A$2,000); English proficiency and financial proof requirements were raised
UK Secures £7.5bn Green Energy Investment, Eases Mortgage Rules to Boost Housing Market
Britain announced a £7.5 billion ($10 billion) clean energy investment deal with Japan’s Sumitomo Group on July 9, focusing on offshore wind and hydrogen infrastructure. Investment Minister Poppy Gustafsson said it would "break grid bottlenecks." Sumitomo, a long-term energy investor, has injected over £20 billion in the UK in a decade, marking a key step in the Labour government’s push for private capital in net-zero transitions.
UK Construction PMI Rises to 6-Month High in June but Remains in Contraction
Britain’s construction sector showed mixed signals in June, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) edging up to 48.8—its highest level in six months—yet still lingering below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. A stark divide emerged within the industry:
Canada's June Ivey PMI Rises to 4-Month High; Rental Market Cools Unevenly
Canada’s Ivey PMI climbed to 53.3 in June, a four-month high, signaling accelerating economic activity. However, underlying concerns emerged: the employment sub-index dipped below 50 (49.5), while the price index surged to 70.2, highlighting mounting inflation pressures.
Japan's Real Wages See Steepest Drop in 20 Months, Straining Consumption Recovery
A core contradiction has emerged in Japan’s economy: inflation-adjusted real wages plummeted 2.9% year-on-year in May (following a -2.0% decline in April), marking the sharpest drop in 20 months and extending a five-month streak of contraction. This was driven by persistent inflation—running at 4% when excluding fresh food but including rent costs—outpacing nominal wage growth, which slowed drastically to 1.0% (to ¥300,000) from 2.0% in April, hitting a 14-month low.
BOJ Warns of Food Price-Driven Inflation; U.S. Tariffs Could Severely Hurt Japan's GDP
Bank of Japan board member Junko Kotani warned on July 9 that surging prices of rice and other foodstuffs are intensifying inflationary pressures, urging vigilance against "second-round effects" that might lift household inflation expectations. Japan’s consumer inflation remains around 3%, but the BOJ’s weighted median inflation gauge—closely watched by policymakers—still lags below the 2% target. Kotani noted economic uncertainty makes it premature to pinpoint the next rate hike, with food prices a critical variable.
German Industrial Orders Drop More Than Expected, Clouding Euro Zone Recovery
Germany’s industrial orders fell unexpectedly by 1.4% month-on-month in May, far exceeding the market’s projected 0.1% decline and ending a three-month recovery streak. Weak domestic demand emerged as the primary drag: domestic orders plummeted 7.8%, with the computer and electronics sector crashing 17.7%, while electrical equipment and basic metals industries also contracted.
FTSE 100 Edges Up 0.2% on July 9 as Markets Digest U.S. Tariff Expansion
London’s FTSE 100 inched up 0.2% on July 9, with investors continuing to absorb the impact of U.S. tariff expansions. Advertising giant WPP (WPP.L) plunged 19%—its worst daily drop in over three decades—after slashing profit forecasts due to key client losses and shrinking new business, weighing heavily on the index.